隨著比特幣突破十萬美元大關，加密市場於DeFi、跨鏈互通和機構採用領域持續活躍。Sui的強勁合作與DeFi策略推動增長，Chainlink則因跨鏈解決方案進步引發關注。
像Solana與Hedera這類山寨幣以創新升級持續發展，傳統資產如Litecoin與Stellar也在競爭加劇下展現韌性。以下十種幣種呈現加密市場不斷進化下的趨勢與科技變革。
XRP (XRP)
價格變化（7天）： +26.13% 現價： $3.21
新聞 XRP 本週價格表現強勁，受惠於監管明朗化的樂觀情緒、RippleNet擴展，以及XRP ETF有望獲批的推動。
Ripple最近在官司上的勝利進一步增強市場信心，XRP因具備跨境支付效用與看漲的期權趨勢，成為機構投資者的新寵。然而，SEC仍持續上訴，力圖將XRP零售交易列為證券，引發爭議。此外，Ripple與穩定幣（如RLUSD）創新整合，提升XRP跨境轉帳效率與市場能見度。儘管週中交易量略有下滑，但衍生品活躍與多頭情緒讓XRP延續動能。
預測 XRP的RSI目前約在65，接近超買區間，仍有上行空間。支撐位為$3，主要壓力區在$3.5。若能突破$3.5，在ETF利多帶動下有機會上攻$4。如空方壓力加劇，則可能回測$2.80。指標顯示，資金費率與衍生品活躍帶動短期看多氛圍。
Solana (SOL)
價格變化（7天）： +40.26% 現價： $262.07
新聞 Solana 本週表現亮眼，受益於通縮模型探索及首個layer-2解決方案Solaxy推出，促進與以太坊在DeFi領域的合作與網路可擴展性。
憑藉GOAT平台上線與Firedancer升級，Solana主導AI幣市場（占比56.48%）。此外，FDUSD穩定幣發行使資產規模暴增17億美元，加上Solana ETF有望問世，都吸引機構關注與大舉投資。Solana也推出SIMD-215，助力MoonPay Helio支付平台並強化DeFi生態。這些發展凸顯Solana於區塊鏈及金融市場的強大影響力。
預測 Solana的RSI約為70，處於超買區，預示短線整固。主要支撐在$240，壓力區為$280。若突破$280，後市或上看$300。EMA顯示多頭強勢，50日EMA在$220處有支撐。成交量高企維持興趣，但高檔獲利回吐壓力可能先回測$240才重啟漲勢。
Hedera (HBAR)
價格變化（7天）： +22.63% 現價： $0.3519
新聞 Hedera本週表現驅動來自與SpaceX、Intel、NVIDIA等大廠的策略合作，加速區塊鏈導入與資產代幣化。
與世界寶石學院合作，為鑽石等高級品創建不可更改的數位證書，提升透明度與信任度。PHPX穩定幣由菲律賓銀行採用，展示Hedera分布式帳本在跨境匯款的潛力。結合AI驗證與工作流程安全，Hedera加速受到金融科技市場採納。
預測 HBAR RSI現為60，動能中性偏多。支撐位在$0.33，壓力在$0.40。若能突破$0.40，看漲目標為$0.45，受合作與代幣化計畫推動。若跌破$0.33，支撐看$0.30。50日均線在$0.31為強支撐。本週成交熱絡，但若量能衰減，漲勢恐趨緩。
Litecoin (LTC)
價格變化（7天）： +16.85% 現價： $122.48
新聞 Litecoin本週動能提升，因現貨ETF可能批准，引發機構關注與大戶加碼。Nasdaq申請Canary Litecoin ETF並指派託管人，說明對LTC的信任攀升。全網交易量持穩，並躍居BitPay 2024年交易最活躍加密幣。然而，本週遭官方X帳號被盜，曝露安全疑慮，但市場並未明顯受創。衍生品交易增溫與哈希率提升，支撐LTC市場情緒。
預測 LTC RSI為68，接近超買區。短支撐$115，壓力$130。若突破$130並延續ETF憧憬，則上看$150。不過，若跌破$115，將回測$110或$105。移動平均線展現多頭趨勢，50日線於$110為強力支撐。哈希率高與衍生品活躍屬利多，惟應留意高檔整理壓力。
Chainlink (LINK)
價格變化（7天）： +17.04% 現價： $23.70
新聞 Chainlink透過跨鏈互通協議(CCIP) v1.5，進一步提升區塊鏈互操作性，實現多鏈ERC-20資產無縫跨鏈。
與BTguru等土耳其業者合作，以及於Linea Mainnet統合BNB/USD、ETH/USD報價源，強化在DeFi領域地位。結合智能合約自動化與低延遲資料，進一步鞏固去中心化交易所角色。此外，StakeStone利用Chainlink進行ETH質押，並與Swift合作改善支付系統，穩固DeFi生態影響力。
預測 Chainlink RSI約63，展現溫和多頭。即時支撐$22，壓力$26。若升破$26，需求推動下換算上$30；若跌破$22，則回調至$20。50日均線於$21提供強支撐，交易量顯示市場關注持續。
Algorand (ALGO)
價格變化（7天）： +15.89% 現價： $0.4353
新聞 Algorand 4.0升級為其區塊鏈生態系帶來顯著進展， including improved staking rewards and scalability enhancements. This has bolstered both security and developer capabilities, attracting institutional attention. Algorand's collaboration with Mastercard aims to enhance blockchain utility and improve liquidity, while staking upgrades have increased investor confidence. These developments have led to a surge in market activity, with trading volumes spiking over 100% earlier this week.
包括提升的質押獎勵與擴展性增強。這些改進強化了安全性與開發者能力，吸引機構關注。Algorand 與 Mastercard 的合作旨在提升區塊鏈實用性並增進流動性，而質押的升級則進一步提高了投資者信心。這些發展促使市場活動激增，本週初交易量一度躍升超過 100%。
Forecast Algorand’s RSI is currently at 58, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum. Support is at $0.40, with resistance at $0.50. Breaking above $0.50 could lead to a rally toward $0.55, especially if staking rewards and liquidity improvements continue to drive investor interest. If the price dips below $0.40, it may retest the $0.38 level. The moving averages show a positive trend, with the 50-day moving average at $0.39 providing solid support.
預測
Algorand 的 RSI 目前為 58，顯示為中性偏多的動能。支撐位在 $0.40，壓力位在 $0.50。若突破 $0.50，有機會上漲至 $0.55，尤其當質押獎勵與流動性持續提升投資者興趣時。若價格跌破 $0.40，可能回測 $0.38 水平。移動平均線顯示為正向趨勢，50 日均線位於 $0.39，提供了強勁支撐。
Stellar (XLM)
Price Change (7D): +8.00% Current Price: $0.4771
News Stellar has partnered with Nansen AI to enhance on-chain wallet analytics, further improving its ecosystem’s efficiency and transparency. Collaborations with OpenZeppelin to develop a Stellar Contracts Library have strengthened developer tools, supporting growth on the Soroban smart contract platform. Stellar’s integration of advanced on-chain analytics and its ability to handle millions of daily transactions underscore its expanding role in DeFi and blockchain-based finance.
新聞
Stellar 已與 Nansen AI 合作，強化鏈上錢包分析，進一步提升其生態系效率與透明度。與 OpenZeppelin 合作開發 Stellar 合約函式庫，強化開發者工具，並推動 Soroban 智能合約平台的成長。Stellar 整合先進的鏈上分析工具並具備承載每日數百萬筆交易的能力，凸顯其在 DeFi 及區塊鏈金融領域日益擴大的角色。
Forecast Stellar’s RSI is at 54, indicating a neutral market position. Support lies at $0.45, with resistance at $0.50. If Stellar breaks above $0.50, it could target $0.55, driven by increased developer adoption and ecosystem growth. However, a decline below $0.45 could lead to further downside toward $0.42. Moving averages suggest consolidation, with the 50-day moving average at $0.46 providing stability.
預測
Stellar RSI 為 54，呈現中性市場狀態。支撐位於 $0.45，阻力位於 $0.50。若突破 $0.50，可望挑戰 $0.55，推力將來自開發者採用增加與生態系成長。但若跌破 $0.45，則可能進一步下探至 $0.42。均線顯示價格可能持續盤整，50 日均線位於 $0.46 帶來穩定支撐。
TRON (TRX)
Price Change (7D): +1.24% Current Price: $0.2435
News TRON has made headlines with its interception of $132 million in illicit funds through a collaboration with Tether, highlighting its focus on security and regulatory compliance. The launch of USDD 2.0 stablecoin with a 20% yield and its adoption for tokenized legal notices in Hong Kong courts have showcased TRON's expanding utility in financial systems and legal frameworks. Additionally, TRON’s sponsorship of major crypto events and its potential ties with Trump-backed World Liberty Financial are drawing attention to its role in the blockchain ecosystem.
新聞
TRON 與 Tether 合作攔截了價值 $1.32 億美元非法資金，凸顯其對安全與法遵的重視。USDD 2.0 穩定幣推出 20% 年化收益，並被 香港 法院用於發送代幣化法律通知，展現 TRON 在金融體系及法律框架中的應用持續擴展。此外，TRON 贊助多項加密貨幣重大活動，並與川普支持的 World Liberty Financial 可能合作，使其在區塊鏈生態系中的角色備受矚目。
Forecast TRON’s RSI is at 51, signaling a neutral outlook. Support is seen at $0.24, with resistance at $0.25. A breakout above $0.25 could pave the way for a move toward $0.27, fueled by increasing adoption and positive sentiment around stablecoin innovations. However, if TRON falls below $0.24, it may retest $0.22. The moving averages suggest consolidation, with the 50-day moving average at $0.23 providing support.
預測
TRON RSI 為 51，顯示市場看法趨於中性。支撐位於 $0.24，阻力位於 $0.25。若突破 $0.25，可能推升至 $0.27，主因為穩定幣創新與應用持續擴大。然而，若跌破 $0.24，則可能回測 $0.22。移動均線顯示進入盤整期，50 日均線位於 $0.23 帶來支撐。
Ethereum Name Service (ENS)
Price Change (7D): +4.25% Current Price: $33.69
News Ethereum Name Service (ENS) continues to expand its infrastructure role with Venmo and PayPal integrating .eth names, signaling future adoption potential. During frENSday, Vitalik Buterin emphasized ENS’s infrastructure potential, while Venmo and PayPal revealed steps to bridge traditional payment systems with blockchain technology. These developments highlight ENS’s growing utility and its potential to become a critical part of blockchain-based digital identity systems.
新聞
Ethereum Name Service（ENS）持續擴展其基礎設施角色，Venmo 與 PayPal 整合 .eth 名稱，展現未來主流採用的潛力。於 frENSday 期間，Vitalik Buterin 強調 ENS 作為基礎設施的潛力，Venmo 與 PayPal 也已開始將傳統支付系統與區塊鏈技術進行連結。這些進展凸顯 ENS 實用性不斷增強，有望成為區塊鏈數位身份系統的關鍵一環。
Forecast ENS’s RSI is at 49, indicating a neutral trend. Support is at $32, with resistance at $35. If ENS breaks above $35, it could target $38, driven by adoption in mainstream financial systems. However, a decline below $32 could lead to a drop to $30. The moving averages are flat, indicating a consolidation phase, with the 50-day moving average at $31 providing additional support.
預測
ENS RSI 為 49，表明目前處於震盪整理。支撐在 $32，阻力在 $35。若突破 $35，可望挑戰 $38，主因來自主流金融體系的採用。但若跌破 $32，則有可能下探 $30。移動平均線呈持平，市場進入盤整期，50 日均線位於 $31 帶來額外支撐。
Sui (SUI)
Price Change (7D): +0.76% Current Price: $4.85
News Sui has strengthened its presence in the blockchain space with significant advancements in both security and DeFi. Its partnership with Chainalysis enhances on-chain activity monitoring, bolstering security measures. The Sui Foundation has also driven DeFi growth through protocols like DeepBook and Suilend, alongside the adoption of stablecoins, contributing to its Total Value Locked (TVL) reaching $1.8 billion. Additionally, its collaboration with SEED to revolutionize gaming technology for 100 million users underscores its commitment to innovation and scalability.
新聞
Sui 進一步鞏固在區塊鏈領域的地位，在安全性與 DeFi 上皆有顯著突破。與 Chainalysis 合作強化鏈上行為監控，提升安全措施。Sui 基金會也透過 DeepBook 與 Suilend 等協議推動 DeFi 成長，並採用穩定幣，使其 TVL（總鎖倉價值）達到 18 億美元。此外，與 SEED 合作，目標為 1 億用戶打造 Web3 遊戲生態，展現其對創新與擴展性的承諾。
Forecast Sui’s RSI stands at 52, indicating a neutral position with the potential for upward momentum. Support lies at $4.60, while resistance is seen at $5.10. Breaking above $5.10 could see Sui rally toward $5.50, driven by continued DeFi adoption and gaming-related initiatives. However, if the price falls below $4.60, it may retest the $4.40 level. Increased trading volumes this week highlight sustained interest, positioning Sui for further growth in the DeFi sector.
預測
Sui RSI 為 52，屬於中性並具有上漲動能。支撐在 $4.60，阻力在 $5.10。若突破 $5.10，則有望上攻至 $5.50，主要受益於 DeFi 應用及遊戲創新推動。但若跌破 $4.60，則有機會回測 $4.40。本週交易量增加，顯示市場持續關注，Sui 在 DeFi 領域的成長空間可期。
Bitcoin (BTC)
Price Change (7D): +1.33% Current Price: $104,753.56
News Bitcoin crossed the $100K mark once again amid a surge in institutional interest. BlackRock’s ETF purchases of 5,250 BTC and over $1.3 billion in ETF inflows have signaled widespread adoption and mainstream acceptance. The SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2024 has generated $30 billion in investments, while states like Oklahoma are exploring Bitcoin reserves as strategic assets. Bitcoin’s Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi has skyrocketed by 2,000% in 2024, driven by staking and innovative financial applications.
新聞
比特幣再次突破 $100K 大關，機構資金明顯湧入。貝萊德 ETF 認購 5,250 枚 BTC、ETF 淨流入逾 $13 億，顯示市場廣泛採用與主流接納。美 SEC 於 2024 年核准現貨比特幣 ETF，帶動 300 億美元資金投入，各州如 奧克拉荷馬 也正考慮將比特幣納為戰略儲備資產。2024 年以來，比特幣於 DeFi 的鎖倉量（TVL）由 質押與創新金融應用驅動，激增 2,000% 。
Forecast Bitcoin’s RSI is at 70, indicating overbought conditions and potential for short-term consolidation. Support lies at $100K, with strong resistance near $110K. A breakout above $110K could pave the way for a rally toward $120K, supported by increasing institutional demand and ETF inflows. If BTC fails to hold $100K, a correction to $95K is possible. The exponential moving averages show a bullish trend, with the 50-day EMA at $97K acting as critical support. Bitcoin’s dominance and consistent trading volume underscore its strong position as a market leader.
預測
比特幣 RSI 為 70，顯示已超買，短線存在盤整可能。支撐位於 $100K，強阻力在 $110K。若突破 $110K，則有望衝高至 $120K，主要受機構需求與 ETF 資金流入支持。若守不住 $100K，則可能修正至 $95K。EMA 呈現多頭趨勢，50 日 EMA 均線在 $97K 形成關鍵支撐。比特幣強勢主導地位與穩定成交量，彰顯其作為市場領導者的地位。
Closing Thoughts
The crypto market this week is characterized by a clear shift towards institutional adoption and cross-chain interoperability.
結語
本週加密市場顯現出機構化採用與跨鏈互通趨勢十分明顯。
Bitcoin’s dominance is bolstered by ETF inflows and mainstream acceptance, while altcoins like Chainlink and Sui continue to lead in DeFi innovation. The interoperability sector is seeing strong participation, with coins like Chainlink and Sui pioneering new solutions. Meanwhile, assets like Stellar and Hedera emphasize blockchain’s integration into traditional finance. As the market gains momentum, DeFi and interoperability stand out as the most active sectors, setting the stage for continued growth and adoption across the ecosystem.
比特幣在 ETF 資金與主流認可加持下稱霸市場，而如 Chainlink、Sui 等山寨幣則持續引領 DeFi 創新。跨鏈板塊表現活躍，Chainlink、Sui 等項目推動新解方。另如 Stellar、Hedera 等資產則著重於區塊鏈和傳統金融融合。隨著市場動能提升，DeFi 與互通性成為最活躍領域，為生態系的持續成長與採用奠定基礎。